While many fans in the UK focus on club season-opening performances or discuss forthcoming fall test matches, the battle for World Cup 2027 qualification rages on unabated.
Chile secured their second consecutive spot at the competition with a stunning qualifying win over Samoa last month, leaving only one place left to be claimed for the host nation in two years. At the same time, the Paraguayan side surprised Brazil 39-19 in the first leg of their playoff.
The return match is scheduled this Saturday in Jacareí, near São Paulo, as Brazil's squad aims to follow their women's success and secure qualification for the first time.
Whether Paraguay manages a surprise aggregate victory, or Brazil recovers following head coach their coach's departure, the participants for November's Dubai qualification tournament will then be finalized. The Namibian team, the Belgian squad, and the Samoan side have already secured their places for the Middle Eastern showdown from 8-18 November.
Several other teams have also earned their spots. Hong Kong China sealed maiden qualification after beating Korea by a large margin in the summer, and Zimbabwe will make a comeback to the sport's most prestigious stage for the first occasion in over three decades after winning the African championship.
The consequence of Chile's playoff success ensures that Los Condores will play against Italy for the first occasion next month during the autumn internationals, taking the place of Samoa who must participate in Dubai.
The global governing body's CEO described Chile an "exciting and fast-emerging force" in confirming the upcoming fixture in the Italian city. While domestic the sport markets seek larger crowds, rugby in Chile is buoyant. A capacity crowd of more than twenty thousand witnessed the qualifying win in Viña del Mar, and head coach Pablo Lemoine has led the squad on an improving path since taking over in recent years.
The fifty-year-old ex- Uruguayan forward has been influencing the game for decades: signed by Bristol in the 1990s, he memorably broke through England defense to touch down at the 2003 global tournament.
His influence as head coach has been similarly powerful: Chile have climbed to 17th, their highest-ever position. At the last World Cup in Europe, they were defeated in all matches, conceding 215 points and scoring twenty-seven, including a heavy loss against England.
Nevertheless, they proudly found the positives, and following the 2027 draw in Australia on December 3rd, Lemoine can begin planning in earnest. They hosted Scotland last year, defeated by a significant margin in front of twenty-four thousand supporters, and although they were beaten across both matches by Uruguay in the initial qualifying round, they achieved a narrow away victory in the Uruguayan capital.
The Samoan team, in contrast, have participated in every Rugby World Cup since 1991, but are currently languishing in sixteenth position in the global rankings. They were without a victory in this year's Pacific Nations Cup, leading to playoff misery against Chile, and the requirement to face nations such as Belgium adds further difficulty for the rugby-loving country.
Apart from specific teams' performances, it is important to consider how different the expanded competition will appear in 2027. For the first occasion, there will be a round of 16 with six pools of four teams rather than four pools of five teams. Group phase risk is significantly reduced because the four best third-placed teams will also advance.
The organizers, Australia, are now ranked seventh in the global rankings, which means they would miss out on a top seed and might meet either the Springboks, the All Blacks, the Irish, the French, the English, or Argentina in their group. They could rise into the highest seeds during a busy November, though: the English team, the Italian side, the Irish squad, and the French team are their fixtures, with a match versus the Japanese team in Tokyo also planned for 25 October.
The Welsh team, meanwhile, are balanced in twelfth place, with Japan behind, and the implications of dropping to thirteenth and into pot three are possibly severe.
Another new dimension for the next World Cup is the participation of five nations from the Americas: the Argentine team, Uruguay, the United States, the Canadian team, and the Chilean squad – with either Paraguay or Brazil possibly making it six. From World Rugby's viewpoint, American interest is positive, particularly with the 2031 World Cup scheduled to be hosted by the USA, and the selection process for the 2035 edition was launched last month.
For now, however. The second installment of Brazil versus Paraguay prepares a four-team qualifying contest, combined with a potential rankings shake-up throughout the European nations in the coming month. Regardless of how things pan out, Chile's successful qualification for a second consecutive World Cup has already made them as a clear triumphant example.